Using Pitman Closeness to Compare Stock Return Models

نویسندگان

  • Victoria Javine
  • Gwendolyn Pennywell
  • Alan Chow
چکیده

This paper provides an alternate method of evaluating portfolio performance of stock pricing models. We apply Pitman Closeness Criterion to compare the accuracy of three popular pricing models. This comparison is used to assess which, if any, model outperforms the others. In assessing model performance over a long period of time, we find that the Fama-French three-factor model and the Carhart four-factor model each show better performance in prediction of stock returns than CAPM. When we limit the study to more recent data, the Carhart model shows better performance for more portfolios than the Fama-French and the CAPM models.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Pitman-Closeness of Preliminary Test and Some Classical Estimators Based on Records from Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution

In this paper, we study the performance of estimators of parametersof two-parameter exponential distribution based on upper records. The generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) test was used to generate preliminary test estimator (PTE) for both parameters. We have compared the proposed estimator with maximum likelihood (ML) and unbiased estimators (UE) under mean-squared error (MSE) and Pitman me...

متن کامل

Using different Pitman-closeness techniques for the linear combination of multivariate forecasts

We specify the Pitman-closeness criterion for the evaluation of multivariate forecasts in three categories. This is done closely to the definition of covariance adjustment techniques analysed in other articles. We also apply the Pitman-closeness techniques to an example dealing with German economic data.

متن کامل

Modeling Stock Return Volatility Using Symmetric and Asymmetric Nonlinear State Space Models: Case of Tehran Stock Market

Volatility is a measure of uncertainty that plays a central role in financial theory, risk management, and pricing authority. Turbulence is the conditional variance of changes in asset prices that is not directly observable and is considered a hidden variable that is indirectly calculated using some approximations. To do this, two general approaches are presented in the literature of financial ...

متن کامل

The Integration of Multi-Factor Model of Capital Asset Pricing and Penalty Function for Stock Return Evaluation

One of the main concerns of investors is the evaluation of the return on investment, which is conducted using various models such as the CAPM (single-factor model), Fama-French three/five-factor models, and Roy and Shijin’s six-factor model and other models known as multi-factor models. Despite the widespread use of these models, their major drawbacks include sensitivity to unexpected changes, ...

متن کامل

Modeling Stock Market Volatility Using Univariate GARCH Models: Evidence from Bangladesh

This paper investigates the nature of volatility characteristics of stock returns in the Bangladesh stock markets employing daily all share price index return data of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE) from 02 January 1993 to 27 January 2013 and 01 January 2004 to 20 August 2015 respectively.  Furthermore, the study explores the adequate volatility model for the stoc...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014